November 22, Monday
10:00-10:15 Opening ceremony
Lectures
10:15-11:15 V.M. Stepanenko, (Research Computing Center, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow Center for Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, Moscow), Glazunov A.V. (INM RAS, Moscow)
Scientific heritage of V.N. Lykosov
11:15-12:15 M.A. Tolstykh (INM RAS, Hydrometcenter of Russia, Moscow)
Global atmosphere models and their application in numerical weather prediction and climate modellin"
Break 12:15 – 12:30
12:30-13:30 D. Mironov (Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach am Main, Germany)
Turbulence and surface-layer parameterizations in NWP models: can we do a better job?
Lunch 13:30-14:30
14:30 Session 1. Subseasonal and long-term weather and climate forecasts. Chair Dr. M.A. Tolstykh
14:30 Oral reports
14:30-14:45 M.A. Tarasevich1,2, E.M. Volodin2 (1Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (National Research University), Dolgoprudny, 2 G.I. MarchukINM RAS, Moscow)
Investigation of the NAO index predictability reasons in seasonal hindcasts of the INM RAS climate model for the 2009–2010 winter season
14:45-15:00 V.V. Vorobyeva 1,2, E.M. Volodin2 (1Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (National Research University), Dolgoprudny, 2 G.I. Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Research on the INM RAS climate model skill in summer seasonal hindcasts
15:00-15:15 E.D. Olkhovaya 1, A.Yu. Bundel2, E.D. Astakhova 2, D.Yu. Alferov 2 (1Russian Technological University, 2Hydrometcentre of Russia, Moscow)
Spatial verification of regional ensemble forecast at the Hydrometcentre of Russia
15:15-15:30 I.V. Serykh, D.M. Sonechkin (Shirshov Institute of Oceanology R AS, Moscow)
Global Atmospheric Oscillation and El Niño long-term forecast
15:30-15:45 V.G. Mizyak1, V.F. Tolstykh1,2, V.S. Rogutov1, K.A. Alipova1,2, G.S. Goiman1,2 (1Hydrometcenter of Russia, 2G.I. Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Medium range ensemble prediction system of Hydrometcentre of Russia based on SL-AV model: First results
Break 15:45-16:15
16:15 Session 2. Modeling and analysis of global and regional climate and related atmospheric processes. To Prof. S.S. Zilitinkevich memory. Chair Dr. A. Baklanov
16:15 Invited reports
16:15-16:45 A.A. Baklanov (WMO, Switzerland)
To Prof. Zilitinkevich memory
16:45-17:15 Igor Esau (Nansen Center, Bergen, Norvey)
Correction of the turbulence schemes through atmospheric boundary layer depth limits
17:15-17:45 Yu.P. Perevedentsev 1, B.G. Sherstyukov 2, K.M. Shantalinskii1, V.V. Guryanov 1 (1Kazan State University, Kazan, 2RIHMI-WDC, Obninsk)
Climatic changes in the tropo-stratosphere on the territory of Russia in the XX-XXI centuries
November 23, Tuesday
Lectures
10:00-11:00 V.V. Ivanov (MSU, Moscow, Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, S-Petersburg)
Feedbacks in the Ocean-Sea Ice-Atmosphere System Associated with the Reduction of Arctic Sea Ice
Break 11:00-11:30
11:30-12:30 N.G. Iakovlev (Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Mathematical models of the large-scale state of sea ice and some aspects of their numerical implementation
12:30 Session 2. Modeling and analysis of global and regional climate and related atmospheric processes. To Prof. S.S. Zilitinkevich memory. Chair Dr. A. Baklanov
12:30 Oral reports
12:30-12:45 N.V. Vazaeva1,2, O.G. Chkhetiani1 (1A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, 2Bauman Moscow State Technical University, Moscow)
Non-saltation emission of aerosol: parameterization and modeling
12:45-13:00 L.V. Novoselova, K.G. Shvarts, V.A. Shklyaev (Perm State University, Perm)
Analysis of the aeropalinological monitoring results in Perm and determination of the main directions of pollen grains transfer
Lunch 13:00-14:00
14:00-14:15 G. Platov1,2 , V. Gradov2, I.Borovko1, E. Volodin3, V. Krupchatnikov1,2 (1ICMMG SB RAS, 2Novosibirsk State University, Novosibirsk, 3Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Modelled atmospheric response to Arctic ice reduction
14:15-14:30 Yu.V. Martynova1,5 , V.N. Krupchatnikov2,5, A.V. Gochakov3,5, O.Yu. Antokhina4 (1IMCES SB RAS, Tomsk, 2ICMMG SB RAS, Novosibirsk, 3Siberian Research Hydrometeorological Institute, Novosibirsk, 4Zuev IAO SB RAS, Tomsk, 5A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, Moscow)
Relationship between snow cover onset rate in Western Siberia and atmospheric dynamics anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere for the fall-winter season
14:30-14:45 Yu.V. Martynova1, P.N. Vargin2,4, E.M. Volodin3 (1IMCES SB RAS, Tomsk, 2Central Aerological Observatory, Dolgoprudny, 3Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow, 4A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, Moscow)
Investigation of Northern Hemispheric storm tracks under future climate conditions in INM-CM5 model output
14:45-15:00 Gochakov A.V.1, Tokarev V.M.1, Kolker A.B.1,2 (1Siberian Regional Research Hydrometeorological Institute, 2Novosibirsk State Technical University, Novosibirsk)
Verification of vertical temperature profile of COSMO and ICON models with available observation data
15:00-15:`5 I.D. Drozd1,5, A.V. Gavrikov2,5, V.M. Stepanenko4,1,3,5, I.A. Repina5,3,4, A.Yu. Artamonov5, A.D. Pashkin5 (1Lomonosov MSU, 2Shirshov IO RAS, 3Moscow Center for Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, 4Research Computing Center, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 5Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, Moscow)
Statistical properties of atmospheric turbulence in urban conditions using measurements on the micrometeorological mast of MSU
15:15-15:30 P.A. Perezhogin (Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
An investigation of turbulence closures in decaying 2D turbulence
15:30-15:45 A.V. Debolskiy1,2,3, E.V. Mortikov1,3,4, V.M. Stepanenko1,3 (1Research Computing Center, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, 3Moscow Center for Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, 4Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Implementation aspects of DNS-LES model and Lagrangian particle transport on different architectures
15:45-16:00 E.M. Ladokhina1, K.G. Rubinshtein2 (1Northwest Administration on Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring, St. Petersburg, 2Hydrometcenter of Russia, Moscow)
The influence of the surface parameters of St. Petersburg on the atmosphere circulation above it
Short Oral Presentations of the Session will take place on Friday, November 26, 2021, at 12:30
Break 16:00-16:30
Lecture
16:30-17:30 Sergey Danilov (Alfred Wegener Institute, Bremerhaven, Germany)
Large-scale ocean modeling on unstructured meshes
14:00 21st Session of North Eurasia Climate Forum Chair Dr. V.M. Khan
14:00 Invited reports
14:00-14:20 V.M. Khan (Hydrometcenter of Russia)
Current activities in the North Eurasia Climate Center and analysis of the skill in consensus forecasting for the summer of 2021 following the results of SEACOF-20
14:20-14:45 P.N. Vargin1, K.A. Sumerova et al. 2 (1Central Aerological Observatory, Dolgoprudny, 2Hydrometcenter of Russia, Moscow)
Monitoring of circulating conditions in the stratosphere and troposphere over the past season (summer of 2021)
14:45-15:05 E.S. Kaverina, I.A. Kulikova, E.N. Kruglova, V.A. Tishchenko, V.M. Khan (Hydrometcenter of Russia)
Overview of seasonal forecasts for winter 2021/2022 based on the results of the world's leading forecast centers
15:05-15:25 S.V. Emelina, V.M. Khan (Hydrometcenter of Russia)
Possible economic consequences of the impact of the expected anomalies of meteorological parameters for the winter 2021/2022
15:25-15:40 V.A. Tishchenko, V.M. Khan (Hydrometcenter of Russia)
Draft Consensus Weather Forecast for Winter 2021/2022
15:40 Short presentations of CIS Hydrometeorological Sevices
15:40-15:50 Armenia
15:50-16:00 Belarussia
Break 16:00-16:30
16:30-16:40 Kazakhstan
16:40-16:50 Kyrgyzstan
16:50-17:00 Moldova
17:00-17:10 Tajikistan
17:10-17:20 Turkmenistan
17:20-17:30 Uzbekistan
November 24, Wednesday
Lecture
10:00-11:00 I.A. Repina (A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS. Moscow)
Atmosphere – ocean interaction in coastal zones
Break 11:00-11:30
11:30 Session 3. Development of Earth system model components.Chair Dr. V.M. Stepanenko
11:30 Oral reports
11:30-11:45 K.A. Alipova, M.A. Tolstykh, G.S. Goiman (Marchuk INM RAS, Hydrometcenter of Russia, Moscow)
Stochastic perturbation of parameters in SL-AV model
11:45-12:00 D.V. Blagodatskikh1, V.A. Onoprienko1, E.V. Mortikov1,2, N.G. Iakovlev1 (1Marchuk INM RAS, 2Research Computing Center, Moscow State University, Moscow)
Comparative computational performance of two different techniques for calculation of the sea surface height in a climate ocean model
12:00-12:15 V.A. Onoprienko1, D.V. Blagodatskikh 1, E.V. Mortikov1,2, N.G. Iakovlev1 (1Marchuk INM RAS, 2Research Computing Center, Moscow State University, Moscow)
Choosing a horizontal grid for numerical simulation of equatorial dynamics with ocean model
12:15-12:30 A.Yu. Chernenkov1, S.V. Kostrykin2-4, E.M. Volodin2 (1Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Dolgoprudny, 2Marchuk INM RAS, 3Izrael Institute of Global Climate and Ecology, 4Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, Moscow)
Modification of the soil-snow block of the climatic model of the INM RAS
12:30-12:45 V.V. Shashkin1,2,3, G.S. Goiman1,3,2 (1Marchuk INM RAS, 2Hydrometcenter of Russia, Moscow, 3Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Dolgoprudny)
Development of dynamical core for the perspective global atmospheric circulation model
Lunch 12:45-14:00
14:00 Lectures
14:00-15:00 V.M. Stepanenko (Research Computing Center, Moscow)
Land surface models: current state and challenges
15:00-16:00 P.I. Konstantinov (Moscow State University, Moscow)
Investigation of thermal comfort conditions and their impact on public health against the background of modern climatic changes
Break 16:00-16:30
16:30 Session 4. Land surface processes: observations, models and data assimilation. Chair Dr. V.M. Stepanenko
16:30 Invited report
16:30-17:00 Alexander Georgiadi (IG RAS, Moscow)
Extreme droughts in the Russian Plain and their correlation with low water levels in rivers
17:00 Oral reports
17:00-17:15 E.A. Dyukarev1,2, S.A. Kurakov1 (1IMCES SB RAS, Tomsk, 2Yugra State University, Khanty-Mansiysk)
Selection of temperature response function for soil respiration
17:15-17:30 V. Gorbatenko1, V. Chursin1, M.Arshinov2, B. Belan2, D. Davydov2, A. Fofonov2, M. Sasakawa3, T. Machida3, and D. Belikov4 (1TSU, 2V.E. Zuev IAO SB RAS, Tomsk, Russia, 3Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, 4Center for Environmental Remote Sensing, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan)
Validation of the near-surface air temperature from the ERA5 reanalysis using tower observations in Siberia
17:30-17:45 A.S. Lavrov, A.M. Sterin (RIHMI-WDC, Obninsk)
On considering the annual cycle of air temperature in climate trend analysis based on quantile regression methodolog
17:45-18:00 S.V. Travova1, M.A. Tolstykh2,1 (1Hydrometcenter of Russia, 2Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Evaluation of the global atmospheric model SL-AV’s soil analysis at warm season
18:00-18:15 I.I. Leonov, N.N. Sokolikhina (Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow)
Numerical modeling of severe rime accretion in the Far North of Russia
18:15-18:30 D.S. Gladskikh1,2,3, E.V. Mortikov2,4, V.M. Stepanenko2,3,4 (1Institute of Applied Physics RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, 2MSU Research Computing Center, 3Moscow Center of Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, 4Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Numerical simulation of the processes of emission and interaction of gases in inland waters
November 25, Thursday
10:00 Session 4. Land surface processes: observations, models and data assimilation. Chair Dr. V.M. Stepanenko
10:00 Invites reports
10:00-10:30 Dmitry Belikov (Center for Environmental Remote Sensing, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan)
Methane remote sensing from space: new insights from vertical profiles observations
10:30-11:00 Jianlong Li ? Xiaofei Lu (Department of Ecology, School of Life Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China?
Elevated nitrogen deposition enhances the stability of soil aggregates and its carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems of China
Short Oral Presentations of the Session will take place on Friday, November 26, 2021, at 12:30
Break 11:00-11:30
11:30 Lecture
11:30-12:30 Viazilov E. D. (RIHMI-WDC, Obninsk)
Digital transformation of hydrometeorological support - the basis for improving the safety of the population and enterprises
12:30 Session 5. Computational and Information Technologies for Earth sciences. Chair Dr. M.A. Tolstykh
12:30 Invited report
12:30-13:00 V.V. Penenko, A.V. Penenko (ICMMG SB RAS, Novosibirsk)
Variational methods for environmental forecasting systems and assimilation of measurement data
Lunch 13:00-14:00
14:00 Lecture
14:00-15:00 A.A. Baklanov (WMO, Switzerland)
From Urban Air Quality Forecasting and Information Systems to Integrated Urban Hydrometeorology, Climate and Environment Systems and Services for Smart Cities
15:00 Session 5. Computational and Information Technologies for Earth sciences. Chair Dr. M.A. Tolstykh
15:00 Invited reports
15:00-15:30 A. Baklanov (WMO, Switzerland)
Vegetation Fire and Smoke Pollution Warning Advisory and Assessment System (VFSP-WAS): Methodology and opportunities for Russia
15:30-16:00 A. Shiklomanov1,2, A. Prusevich1 and S. Glidden1 (1Earth Systems Research Center, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, USA, 2Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, Saint Petersburg, Russia)
Data Analysis and Scientific Applications with new Tree Ring web-Integrated System for Hydrology (TRISH)
Break 16:00-16:30
16:30 Oral reports
16:30-16:45 G.S. Goyman1,2,3, V.V. Shashkin1,3,2 (1Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow, 2Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Dolgoprudny, 3Hydrometcenter of Russia)
High-order approximation schemes for the staggered reduced lat-lon grid
16:45-17:00 A.V. Penenko1,2, V.V. Penenko1,2, E.A Tsvetova 1, A.V. Gochakov 3, E.A. Pyanova1, V.S. Konopleva1,2 (1ICMMG SB RAS, 2Novosibirsk national research state University, 3 Siberian Regional Hydrometeorological Research Institute, Novosibirsk)
Air quality inverse modeling algorithms for heterogeneous measurement data
17:00-17:15 L.O. Peretyatko, A.M. Sterin, Y.R. Koftan (RIHMI-WDC, Obninsk)
The reciprocal conversion of environmental data for customer information support
Short Oral Presentations of the Session will take place on Friday, November 26, 2021, at 12:30
November 26, Friday
10:00 Session 6. Future Earth Program and Northern Eurasia Future Initiative. Chair Dr. P. Groisman
10:00 Invited reports
10:00-10:30 Pavel Groisman (North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States), Valeriy Grebenets (Dept. of Geography, Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia), Nadezhda Tchebakova (Institute of Forest, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Krasnoyarsk, Russia), Oyudari Vova (Cartography, GIS and Remote Sensing Department, Institute of Geography, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany)
Northern Eurasia future initiative (NEFI), update
10:30-11:00 Anatoly Soloviev (P.V. Sidorov, A.A. Soloviev, M.K. Kaban, Geophysical Center RAS, Moscow)
Structure and density of sedimentary basins in the North-Eastern Eurasia and their coal-bearing prospects
11:00-11:30 Gordov E.P. (Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS and Tomsk branch of the Federal Research Center for Information and Computational Technologies, Tomsk)
VRE and digital twins: the state of the art and challenges
Break 11:30-12:00
12:00 Oral reports
12:00-12:15 A.N. Beshentsev (Baikal Institute of Nature Management SB RAS, Ulan-Ude)
Interstate information cooperation in North Asia
12:15-12:30 Yu.E. Gordova, A.A. Ryazanova, E.P. Gordov (IMCES SB RAS, Tomsk)
Analysis of the climatic information perception by users of thematic Web systems
12:30 Short Oral Presentations Chair Dr. V.M. Stepanenko
Session 2. Modeling and analysis of global and regional climate and related atmospheric processes.
12:30-12:35 A.A. Kospanov, P.I. Konstantinov (Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow)
Microclimatic features of Moscow city centre and the influence of green infrastructure: a case study of the 2010 heatwave
12:35-12:40 A.A. Pekhurova1, T.E. Samsonov1, M.I. Varentsov2, A.A. Kospanov 1, P.I. Konstantinov 1 (1Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2Research computing center, Moscow)
Evaluation of ventilation conditions and bioclimatic comfort conditions in Moscow at the microclimatic level, depending on different types of the buildings structure
12:40-12:45 N.A. Viazilova1, A.E. Viazilov 2 (1RIHMI-WDC, 2RPA "Typhoon", Obninsk)
Extratropical Cyclones over North Atlantic based on ERA-5 and NCEP–NCAR
Reanalysis for 1979-2020
12:45-12:50 A. Boiko, V. Platonov (Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow)
Quality assessment of surface wind speed reproduction by the new detailed model COSMO-CLM hindcast in the Russian Arctic
12:50-12:55 S. Duntsev, V. Platonov (Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow)
Quality assessment of surface temperature reproduction by the new detailed COSMO-CLM hindcast based on station data in the Russian Arctic
12:55-13:00 P.G. Vorotilova1, A.V. Timazhev2, P.I. Konstantinov1,3 (1Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, 3RUDN University, Laboratory of smart technologies for sustainable development of urban environment under global changes, Moscow)
Analysis of the vertical structure of atmosphere during the coldest days in Norilsk and Salekhard according numerical simulation
13:00-13:05 A.I. Varentsov1,3,2,4, V.M. Stepanenko3,1,2,4, E.V. Mortikov3,2 (1Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2Moscow Center of Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, 3Research Computing Center, 4Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, Moscow)
Hydrodynamic modeling of the transport of heavy aerosols of various origins in the boundary layer of the atmosphere
13:05-13:10 V.V. Tcydypov, G.S. Zhamsueva, A.S. Zayakhanov, A.L. Dementeva, T.S. Balzhanov (Institute of Physical Materials Science SB RAS, Ulan-Ude)
Diurnal variability of ultrafine fraction aerosol in the atmosphere of southeastern coast of Lake Baikal (Boyarsk st.) in summer 2020
13:10-13:15 D.M. Frolov (Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow)
Considerable Arctic Sea ice loss as a factor of heavy April snowfalls in Europe
Lunch 13:15-14:00
Session 4. Land surface processes: observations, models and data assimilation
14:00-14:05 A.A. Ryazanova1, V.Yu. Bogomolov1,2, E.A. Dyukarev1,6, V.M. Stepanenko3,4,5,6 (1IMCES SB RAS, Russia, Tomsk, 2Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS, 3Moscow State University, Research Computing Center, Moscow, 4Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography, 5Moscow center of fundamental and applied mathematics, Moscow, 6Yugra State University, Khanty-Mansiysk)
Modeling of heat and moisture transfer in the active layer of land using various parameterizations of the moisture potential of the hydraulic flow and the moisture conductivity coefficient, taking into account various pedotransfer functions and descritization of the organic and mineral composition in depth
14:05-14:10 A. A. Matyukhina 1, N. N. Voropay 2,3, Yu. V. Martynova 3 (1Tomsk State University, Tomsk, 2V.B. Sochava Institute of Geography SB RAS, Irkutsk, 3IMCES SB RAS, Tomsk)
Variability of dates of snow cover formation in Siberia for 1970–2020 according to various datasets
14:10-14:15 Pischalnikova E.V., Kalinin N.A., Sviyazov E.M., Bykov A.V. (Perm State University, Perm)
Finding of optimal predictors for the forecast of ice based on the WRF-ARW model
14:15-14:20 V.Yu. Bogomolov1, E.A. Dyukarev1, V.M. Stepanenko2 (1IMCES SB RAS, Tomsk, 2Research Computing Center, Moscow)
Parametrization of the groundwater level on an oligotrophic bog in the framework of a one-dimensional approach
Session 5. Computational and Information Technologies for Earth sciences.
14:20-14:25 N.D. Tikhonenko, Yu.I. Yusupov (MapMakers Group Ltd, Moscow)
Safe city – GIS Meteo subsystem
14:25-14:30 E.V. Nikolaeva1, P.I. Konstantinov1,2 (1Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2RUDN University, Laboratory of smart technologies for sustainable development of urban environment under global changes, Moscow)
Creation of a prototype system for forecasting dangerous wind speed events for the territory of Moscow State University
14:30-14:35 S.S. Petrov (Marchuk INM RAS, Moscow)
Comparison of Taylor-Galerkin type schemes for transport equation on sphere
14:35-14:40 I.G. Okladnikov (IMCES SB RAS, FRC ICT, Tomsk branch, Tomsk)
Lambda architecture as a basis for a digital twin of a regional climate system
14:40-14:45 E.V. Fedotova (Moscow Power Engineering Institute, Moscow)
Open source approach towards integration of the meteorological records across Russia into a climate impact modeling workflow
14:45-14:50 R. Chernyshev 1,2, M. Krinitskiy 1,3, V. Stepanenko 1,2,4 (1Research Computing Center, 2Lomonosov Moscow State University, 3Shirshov IO RAS, 4Moscow center of fundamental and applied mathematics, Moscow)
Neural networks for identifying partial differential equations in the land surface scheme of the INMCM Earth System model
14:50-14:55 A.Yu. Badanov, Yu.I. Yusupov (MapMakers Group Ltd, Moscow)
Diagnostics of the presence of deep convection and dangerous atmospheric phenomena using satellite data
Session 6. Future Earth Program and Northern Eurasia Future Initiative.
14:55-15:00 N.A. Mirsaeva, A.A. Ivanova (Kazan Federal University, Kazan)
Assessment of the tourist attractiveness of the southeastern part of the Irkutsk region
15:00- 16:00 Poster session. Discussion
16:00 Closing ceremony